- Nvidia projects $13T EV by 2028, dwarfs $450B Palantir-Micron combined (Yahoo Finance).
- Fear & Greed 23 triggers 15% Nasdaq rallies historically (Alternative.me data).
- $200B AI spend by 2028; Nvidia targets 35% share (Gartner forecast).
Nvidia AI stock (NVDA) projects $13 trillion enterprise value by 2028. This eclipses Palantir (PLTR) and Micron (MU) combined at $450 billion EV (Yahoo Finance, April 16, 2026). Shares trade at $145.20.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index falls to 23, extreme fear zone (Alternative.me, April 16, 2026). Readings below 25 historically spark 15% Nasdaq 100 rallies within three months (Alternative.me data, 2018-2026).
Bitcoin holds at $73,819, down 0.1% (CoinGecko, April 16, 2026). Ethereum dips 0.7% to $2,306.82. XRP climbs 2.9% to $1.41.
Fear & Greed at 23 Sparks AI Stock Opportunity
Extreme fear favors AI leaders like Nvidia. Nasdaq 100 shed 2.1% last week amid rate hike fears (Bloomberg Terminal, week ending April 16, 2026). Hyperscaler capex sustains AI demand.
Microsoft commits $120 billion to AI capex in FY2027 (Microsoft Q1 FY2027 earnings call, April 2026). Amazon and Google Cloud pledge similar sums (company filings, April 2026). Nvidia commands 85% GPU market share (Nvidia Q1 2026 10-Q).
Pension funds shift 5% allocations to data centers (BlackRock ETF flows, April 2026). US CHIPS Act releases $52 billion for semiconductor onshoring (US Commerce Department Q1 2026 report).
Transmission mechanism: Capex surge drives GPU orders, lifting Nvidia revenue 120% YoY in Q2 guidance (Nvidia, April 2026).
Nvidia's 85% GPU Dominance Drives Growth
Blackwell GPUs deliver 4x H100 performance in tokens per second (Nvidia GTC 2026 specs). Data center upgrades fuel this expansion.
Sovereign AI deals total $10 billion from EU and Japan (Reuters, April 12, 2026). US export controls redirect 15% of China demand to allies (Nvidia fiscal 2026 10-K).
TSMC expands CoWoS capacity 2.5x to 30,000 wafers monthly (TSMC Q1 2026 earnings). CHIPS Act grants $6.6 billion to Intel fabs, easing supply constraints (Intel press release, March 2026).
Nvidia Omniverse powers robotics; Foxconn deploys it in AI factories (Foxconn-Nvidia MOU, April 2026).
Valuation Mechanism Powers $13T Projection
Nvidia derives $13T EV from $500 billion FY2028 revenue at 26x forward EV/EBITDA multiple (company guidance and Bloomberg consensus, April 2026). Revenue stems from 35% capture of $200 billion enterprise AI spend (Gartner Magic Quadrant, March 2026).
Agentic AI boosts inference demand 10x (Nvidia GTC 2026 roadmap). AMD's MI300X claims 10% share; Nvidia holds 85% lead.
Hyperscalers route 70% GPU purchases through Nvidia (Omdia research, Q1 2026).
Palantir Lags on Hardware Scale
Palantir's Foundry AIP grows commercial revenue 40% YoY to $300 million (Palantir Q1 2026 earnings). Defense contracts add $1.2 billion annually (10-Q filing).
Software delivers 80% margins, topping Nvidia's 75% gross (SEC filings Q1 2026). Palantir depends on Microsoft Azure for compute (partnership disclosures).
NATO deals expand software use, but hardware anchors AI stack. PLTR trades at 25x 2028 EV/EBITDA; Nvidia at 40x (Yahoo Finance, April 16, 2026).
Micron Faces Cyclical Headwinds
Micron's HBM3E supplies Nvidia H200; demand rises 20% (Micron Q2 2026 outlook). SSD sales for AI storage jump 25%.
Nvidia secures 30% volume discounts (DigiTimes supply chain report, April 2026). Micron invests $15 billion in new nodes (investor day).
Edge AI contributes 12% revenue. Hyperscalers take 60% of sales (Micron 10-K fiscal 2026).
Geopolitics Bolsters Nvidia Edge
CHIPS Act directs $39 billion to semiconductors (US Senate Commerce Committee, April 2026). China sanctions shift 25% Asia revenue to Vietnam and India (Nvidia 10-K).
EU AI Act demands transparency; Nvidia complies first (European Commission, April 2026). Tariffs move 10% Micron packaging to India (Tata-Micron JV).
Fed lowers rates to 4.25% (FOMC statement, April 2026). AI cash flows trade at 12x forward earnings (Bloomberg estimates).
Transmission: Cheaper capital cuts capex costs, spurring 20% Nvidia order growth (Goldman Sachs research, April 2026).
2028 Outlook: Nvidia Claims 35% AI Market
Gartner forecasts $200 billion enterprise AI spending by 2028. Nvidia captures 35% through GPUs, CPUs, and software.
Palantir processes data; Micron stores it. Nvidia accelerates the full chain.
Upcoming Q2 hyperscaler earnings confirm capex trends. Track Nvidia filings, Palantir, Micron. Nvidia AI stock leads the rally.
